Expert Market Outlook & Performance Update for First Quarter of FY 23-24 by Mr. Surjitt Singh Arora

PMS Bazaar recently conducted a Quarterly Update Interview Series, where Fund Managers shared their performance of the quarter and outlook on the market. This Blog covers excerpts of our Exclusive Interview with Mr. Surjitt Singh Arora, Portfolio Manager & Principal Officer - PMS, PGIM India, sharing his insights and performance for the first quarter of FY23-24.

16 Aug 2023
Expert Market Outlook & Performance Update for First Quarter of FY 23-24 by Mr. Surjitt Singh Arora

Excerpts from the interview

As a subsidiary of Prudential USA, the 11th largest asset management in the world, PGIM India Portfolio Management Services (PMS) manages a substantial net asset worth over USD 2.8 billion. With a decade of experience under its belt, the company's flagship portfolio, PGIM India Core Equity Portfolio, has made its mark in the industry with impressive returns and a unique investment philosophy.

Investment Selection

Mr. Surjitt stated, "Since its inception in July 2013, PGIM India PMS has grown into a seasoned player in the investment landscape. The company has crafted its strategies based on a Growth at Reasonable Price (GARP) philosophy, an approach that has proved to be a winning formula for its clients. This approach emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with potential growth prospects and reasonable valuations. The GARP framework allows the company to strike the perfect balance between growth and value, ensuring optimal returns for its investors.”

How GARP Works

As Explained by Mr. Surjitt, the guiding principles of their GARP (Growth at Reasonable Price) framework are as follows -

Stock Selection: PGIM employs the Price to Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio to identify suitable stocks. A PEG ratio below 1.6 indicates reasonable valuations and qualifies a company for potential investment. Stocks with PEG ratios above 3 are considered overvalued, prompting the company to take profit-booking measures.

Risk Mitigation: Managing risk is paramount in any investment endeavor. PGIM mitigates risk by limiting individual stock weightage to 10% and sectoral exposure to 30%. This prudent approach ensures a diversified and balanced portfolio, safeguarding against excessive exposure to any particular stock or sector.

The Investment Universe:

According to Mr. Surjitt, PGIM India rigorously filters the investment universe using four key parameters:

Scalability in Revenue: Companies with a proven track record of scaling their revenue are given preference.

15+ Years of Existence: The minimum age of a company should be 15 years, indicating stability and endurance.

Positive Cash Flow: Companies that consistently generate positive free cash flow over seven out of ten years are favored.

Higher Return on Capital (ROC): Depending on the sector, a higher ROC is sought to ensure sustainable profitability.

How to Choose Quality Companies

When discussing a good quality company, the primary criteria include having a substantial scale in terms of revenue. Furthermore, the company should have experienced and successfully navigated through a downturn cycle, resulting in its emergence as a robust and resilient entity. Additionally, consistency in terms of cash flow is a vital characteristic. Moreover, the Return on Capital Employed (ROC) profile over the past decade serves as an essential indicator of its financial performance and efficiency. These factors collectively contribute to identifying a company with high-quality attributes.

Several factors beyond the mentioned criteria determine a company's overall quality. A competent and forward-thinking management team, a focus on innovation and R&D, solid corporate governance, and a sustainable competitive advantage are crucial. Social and environmental responsibility, prudent debt management, and transparent practices also play significant roles in fostering trust and attracting investors and consumers. Reputable companies invest in growth, adapt to changing markets, and allocate resources effectively, ensuring long-term sustainability and success.

Risk Mitigation

According to Mr. Surjitt, ‘The risk mitigation approach at PGM India focuses on diversification, careful allocation, and constant monitoring of the portfolio. By not allowing individual stock weightage to exceed 10%, they reduce the impact of adverse movements in any stock on the overall portfolio. This ensures that a significant downturn in one stock doesn't disproportionately affect the entire investment. Similarly, the limit on sectoral exposure to 30% prevents over-concentration in a specific industry. This way, if a particular sector faces challenges, the overall impact on the portfolio is limited. It also guards against potential sector-specific risks or economic fluctuations affecting the entire investment strategy.”

Maintaining valuations within comfort zones is critical in preventing emotional decision-making during market fluctuations. By adhering to predetermined criteria, the investment team remains disciplined and avoids the temptation to chase excessively high valuations.

Moreover, constant monitoring of portfolio holdings and market conditions allows for proactive risk management. If a stock's performance becomes overly dominant, steps are taken to rebalance the portfolio. This active approach ensures the portfolio remains aligned with the investment strategy and risk tolerance.

Highlights on Industrial Sector - PLI Scheme

The Government of India has taken a significant step towards promoting domestic manufacturing and attracting investments by introducing the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme. This ambitious initiative aims to boost the country's manufacturing sector by providing financial incentives to eligible companies.

Under the PLI scheme, the government has allocated over USD 32 billion to encourage large-scale production in strategic sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, automobiles, textiles, etc. The scheme offers companies a time-bound, performance-based incentive linked directly to their incremental sales from domestically manufactured products.

By offering such incentives, the government aims to enhance India's competitiveness in the global market, reduce import dependence, create job opportunities, and foster innovation. It is a part of the broader vision to transform India into a manufacturing hub and realize the "Make in India" initiative.

The PLI scheme has garnered significant interest from domestic and international companies, attracting substantial investments across various industries. It serves as a powerful tool to incentivize companies to expand their manufacturing capabilities within the country, ultimately contributing to economic growth and development.

Mr. Surjitt Singh Arora discussed several other questions in detail during the interview. Watch the Interview session with the link appended below -


Get access to rich data and analytics of PMS & AIF by subscribing to us. Join the 50000+ investors & experts now: Subscribe NOW

Recent Blogs

PMS products will continue to grow faster than the industry

Here is the edited excerpt from an interview with Naveen Kulkarni, CIO & EVP, Axis Securities PMS

Top PMS funds deliver up to 6% return even as Nifty50 BSE 500 tank over 6% in October

Three dozen PMS strategies deliver positive returns, and over 340 schemes fall less than the benchmarks

The Rise of Family Offices: Shaping the Future of Wealth Management in India

PMS Bazaar hosted a webinar titled ‘Family Office 2.0: Future-Proofing Wealth Management for Next-Gen Ultra HNIs’. The webinar, part of the Sundaram Alternate Series - Season 2 - Episode 5.

How can investors build a winning portfolio?

The PMS Bazaar conducted a webinar on "How to Build a Winning Portfolio?" It featured Salvin Shah, Portfolio Manager, Equity, at Aditya Birla Capital.

3 months PMS performance review: Sector, Thematic and Small & Mid Cap Categories Lead the Charge

The three months ending September 2024 witnessed significant shifts in the performance of Portfolio Management Services (PMS), with certain strategies outperforming broader market indices.

Indian Markets: Navigating Geopolitical Risks and Sectoral Opportunities

This blog summarises the insights shared by Aniruddha Sarkar, CIO & Portfolio Manager at Quest Investment Advisors, during a webinar hosted by PMS Bazaar titled ‘Indian Markets at Crossroads of Sound Fundamentals and Rich Valuations - What Should Investors Do?’

Market Challenges Level the Playing Field for AIF Strategies in September 2024

Long-Short category average return at 1.64% vs. 1.60% of Long-Only peers

Spotting Opportunities in Current Market Conditions

PMS Bazaar hosted a webinar titled “Spotting Opportunities in Current Market” with key insights shared by Trilok Agarwal, Fund Manager at Ambit Asset Management.